Invitation for market consultation on future European TSO scenarios
The European umbrella organisations for electricity and gas TSOs, ENTSO-E and ENTSOG, have developed common scenarios for use in the Ten-Year-Network-Development- Plan (TYNDP). The TYNDP 2022 scenarios, which include development paths for the European energy system, have been submitted to market consultation - closing on 18 November, 2021.
Provide your feedback - help us set the direction
The development of the future energy system is uncertain, and it can be difficult to predict exactly how many wind turbines and photovoltaic panels we will see across Europe in 2050 including how power and gas should be transported.
Therefore, Energinet encourages all relevant operators and market players to provide feedback to the draft scenarios in TYNDP 2022: This is your opportunity to share your expertise and unique insights, both about the scenarios, but also about topics that are not included in the consultation version of the scenarios. It is important for the process that we get qualified feedback so that we can make the necessary adjustments in the TYNDP 2022 scenarios as well as in future scenarios.
Please find the consultation material here and provide us your response here.
Concerted planning of future electricity and gas in TYNDP
The ENTSO associates are developing common scenarios for the development of the energy system to uncover a wide range of different outcomes for the future. These outcome scenarios all form an important part of a common foundation that must help ensure that the infrastructure being built is future-proof and robust - even if the world evolves differently than we think.
- Our future energy system is becoming more and more coherent, and therefore it is a great strength that ENTSO-E and ENTSOG bring both electricity and gas expertise into play in the development of the TYNDP scenarios," says Stine Grenaa Jensen, Vice President at Energinet Systemansvar. She continues: As a system operator for both electricity and gas Energinet has an advantage in terms of deep insight into the coherent energy system. Also, we have brought our knowledge of sector coupling into play in the development of the new TYNDP 2022 scenarios.
Hydrogen and PtX included in the TYNDP 2022
In terms of sector coupling, significant progress has been made in the TYNDP 2022 scenarios compared to the previous TYNDP 2020 scenarios. Electrolysis plants for the production of hydrogen (both for direct use and for the production of other PtX fuels) have been modelled in greater detail to investigate their close interaction with the electricity sector. This ensures that the great flexibility of the new consumer facilities is utilised in the electricity market, while at the same time allowing Europe to be supplied with green gasses and fuels.
TYNDP 2022 includes 3 different scenarios
- National Trends, NT:
NT is what you might call a "patchwork scenario" where the individual pieces are composed of best guesses from the various TSOs' for the development of an energy system that reflects current national policy measures for the transformation of the energy sector. For Denmark and Energinet, this means that we hand in the Danish Analysis Assumptions for Energinet, created by the Danish Energy Agency.
- Distributed Energy, DE:
DE is a scenario where the storyline is focused on increased European energy autonomy as well as greater energy efficiency, which is largely managed through increased direct electrification. Decentralised solutions are being developed both as onshore wind and photovoltaic systems on field and roofing tops. Since DE is working towards reducing imports of energy, including gas, European production must be increased. To a great extent this is done through PtX, where a large amount of electrolysis plants is built in Europe. A strong expansion of the renewable energy production in Europe will be necessary to supply the new electricity consumption.
- Global Ambition, GA:
GA is a scenario in which Europe will continue to use global trade in the development and decarbonisation of the energy system. Thus, the focus will be both on transforming the system by producing renewable energy in Europe from large central plants such as offshore wind, but at the same time, there will be an openness towards importing green gases from sources outside the EU. To deliver on the ambition of decarbonising quickly, the phasing out of nuclear power is slower than with DE – and CCS (Carbon Capture and Storage) is used to capture and store CO2 as an instrument to reduce emissions.
Learn more and release your ideas
If you are interested in learning more about either the Storyline Report or following the development of the TYNDP scenarios, you can find more details here: